At first glance, forecasting behavior might seem far-fetched—can we really predict how people will act? It's a fair question. But just as we once questioned whether we could reliably predict the ...

Q. I use Excel to do traditional linear forecasting, but I would like to upgrade to exponential smoothing for more accurate forecasts. Is there a way to do this in Excel? A. Accurate forecasting is ...

Corporate income tax (CIT) collections are among the most difficult revenues to forecast—even with adequate staffing, comprehensive data, and a stable tax design. In practice, forecasting units ...

Q: I’ve listened to your podcasts in which you discuss weather predictions, and I’ve heard you mention the onion method. As a kid, I watched my grandmother and her brothers, all Germans from Russia, ...

Some of the most popular indicators for forecasting recession suggest that the US may be headed toward a prolonged downturn, if not in the next year, then in the next four. But, given these indicators ...